![]() ![]() 14 If General Berger’s assessment is correct, Marines will be uniquely postured to respond as the “911 force” to a contingency in Taiwan, directly involving them in any defense of the ROC. Berger has reoriented the service to focus on the Pacific and China, with critics suggesting he has done so to the exclusion of all other threats. 13 Marine Corps Commandant General David H. Some defense analysts suggest that one of the experimental Marine littoral regiments may be ideally suited to be deployed in Taiwan. The Marine Corps appears poised to play a larger role in Taiwan. 11 In August 2021, the White House offered Taipei a $750-million arms package. ![]() The Biden administration’s nominee to serve as Assistant Secretary of Defense for Special Operations and Low-Intensity Conflict testified before the Senate Armed Services Committee in May 2021 that the United States should strongly consider assisting Taiwan in improving its capacity to conduct irregular warfare to resist a Chinese invasion. Under Presidents Joseph Biden and Donald Trump, the United States has begun to support Taiwan more overtly. 10 If China invades Taiwan, it “wins” if it can successfully subdue the population and assimilate it as it has Hong Kong and other restive provinces. 9 A former Deputy Under Secretary of the Navy has suggested that Russia’s initial failures in Ukraine may cause the PLAN to redouble its efforts to overwhelm Taiwan’s defenses at the outset. forces may also lose their qualitative advantage. wargames suggest that after the outset of high-intensity conflict, U.S. The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) has a quantitative advantage over the U.S. The CCP is increasingly vocal about its interest in reunifying with Taiwan, and the Chinese military is undertaking more aggressive actions in the Taiwan Strait. 6 For example, “smartphone surveillance equipment, facial-recognition technology, deep-packet inspection gear, and application filtering” have created the “virtual internment” of the Uyghur population, turning their communities into “open air prisons.” 7Ĭhina’s pacification of Hong Kong using surveillance measures is evidence of this method’s success just two years ago the city was in open rebellion. The CCP has adopted a technology-heavy surveillance state to control not only suspect groups inside China, but also its own population, through communication monitoring, hundreds of millions of surveillance cameras, and facial recognition software. 5 Gathering information during an invasion and any occupation through internal surveillance capabilities will similarly represent the center of gravity for China’s efforts to control Taiwan. military’s ability to gather and assess data in a system-on-system confrontation. PLA strategists believe information is the key domain of warfare and will seek to destroy the U.S. Disabling this infrastructure will be vital to an insurgency. In a Taiwan invasion, China will likely try to use existing surveillance networks to control the population. and allied forces may have sufficient time to repulse China in the broader theater. With an insurgency bleeding and tying down PRC forces, U.S. A successful insurgency will require disabling China’s ability to establish surveillance capability on the island. Marine Corps should plan to help destroy with physical or cyberattacks Taiwanese data centers and channels used to transmit data back to China. To aid Taiwan resistance forces, the U.S. 3 Xi and the CCP believe they have developed a model for how to eliminate resistance and establish dominance-namely, mass surveillance, which they increasingly use in Tibet, are applying in Hong Kong, and have perfected in the Xinjiang province. In an initial invasion, China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA) likely would have overwhelming numbers on its side and good prospects for success. 2 If China invades and conquers Taiwan, it likely will move to quickly repurpose Taiwan’s existing surveillance capability. Across the Taiwan Strait, the Republic of China (ROC) employs sophisticated electronic monitoring methods for security, health, transportation, and other purposes, as demonstrated in its successful efforts to limit the spread of COVID-19. 1 The CCP has created a vast surveillance state in China to control the population, particularly in areas of “restive” populations. ![]() In July 2021, during a speech on the 100th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), Chinese President Xi Jinping stated that China has a “historic mission” and “unshakable commitment” to reunify with Taiwan and “smash” any efforts at independence. ![]()
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